Republicans Obamacare Replacement Just Got A Powerful Enemy

WASHINGTON Provisions in the House Republicans Obamacare replacement billthat would raise insurance costs for older Americans are drawing resistance from the influential seniors lobby.

The American Health Care Act, as Republicans are calling it, would allow insurers to make premiums for older Americans five times what they charge younger workers provided that a states regulations allow for it. Obamacare had capped this ratio, known as an age rating, at 3 to 1.

The measure was chief among the reasons AARP, the nations largest organization for older Americans,cited in explaining its opposition to the House bill on Tuesday evening.

Older Americans need affordable health care services and prescriptions,AARP Executive Vice President Nancy LeaMond said in a statement. This plan goes in the opposite direction, increasing insurance premiums for older Americans and not doing anything to lower drug costs.

AARP, which has nearly 38 million members ages 50 and older, is also firmly opposed to a pair of major changes to Medicaid that the House bill includes. One is a rollback of Obamacares Medicaid expansion, which made the program available to millions of low-income adults, many of them seniors, who had no insurance before. The other is a new Medicaid funding formula that could leave states on the hook for more and more money, a report from the left-leaningCenter on Budget and Policy Priorities concluded Tuesday. That might force states to make cuts that hurt seniors, many of whom rely on Medicaid for nursing home care and other health services.

Medicaid cuts could impact people of all ages and put at risk the health and safety of 17.4 million children and adults with disabilities and seniors by eliminating much needed services that allow individuals to live independently in their homes and communities, LeaMond said. This harmful legislation would make health care less secure and less affordable.

AARP used its considerable political power to help pass Obamacare in 2010, despite the opposition of many members about 400,000 left the organization in protest. AARPs objection to key elements of the Republican bill to replace the landmark law could prove just as influential.

[AARP] backed it and paid the price for backing it, so why not support it against repeal? said Fred Lynch, a professor at Claremont McKenna College and author of One Nation Under AARP. The Congress is genuinely afraid of age power, and theyd just as soon let the sleeping giant go on sleeping.

The only possible leader right now is AARP, so its sort of in their hands, he said.

The mammoth organization has already registered its opposition to the two measures in letters to Congress in late January and early February.

AARP premiered a new video advertisement for the campaign on Monday, suggesting it was ramping up its efforts to kill the provision.

In the tongue-in-cheek ad that runs for just over a minute, a man chopping wood alongside a squirrel named Charlie expresses his anger at the age tax.

You know, Charlie and I were watching the news this morning, and they said that Congress has just introduced a new age-rating bill, the wood-chopping narrator says. And I was like, What the heck is age rating? Then Charlie explained that its Washington politician-speak for overcharging older Americans for their health insurance while lining the insurance companies pockets.

The ad is part of anadvocacy campaign AARP launched Feb. 15 to specifically combat a rise in the age rating, which it is calling an age tax. At the time, the organization encouraged its members to call those in Congress who were active in drafting the health care legislation to oppose the rating provision.

Chip Somodevilla via Getty Images
House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.), right, addresses questions about the American Health Care Act with House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) on Tuesday.

AARPs concern about how the Republican bill would affect Americans 50 and older is well-founded, according to two health care experts.

Across the board, what it does is shift costs from younger people to older people, said Timothy Jost, a leading health reform expert and emeritus professor at the Washington and Lee University School of Law.

Republicans introduced the proposal with the goal of enticing younger Americans to buy health insurance and rebalance insurance risk pools, according to Jost.

The bill would also create a tax credit to buy insurance that increases based on age.But the tax credits are, at most, twice as large for older Americans while the premiums could be five times higher.

It is sending seniors a 2-foot rope to get themselves out of a 10-foot hole, said Sabrina Corlette, a professor at Georgetown Universitys Health Policy Institute.

Corlette predicted that under the Republican plan, many Americans in their 50s and early 60s would be unable to pay for private insurance and would end up going without coverage. That risks driving up medical debt, which could lead to more bankruptcies.

Some might delay retirement to keep employer-sponsored insurance, Corlette suggested.

If there is less coverage as people get older, people … are less likely to leave a job to care for a family member or pursue their own business, she added.

Many of the older Americans hardest hit by these changes live in rural, Republican-leaning areas, according to aninteractive analysis by the Kaiser Family Foundation. Under the House plan, 60-year-olds earning $30,000 a year would see their tax credits drop 75 percent or more in most of Arizona and large swaths of western Nebraska. The least affected states include solidly Democratic Washington, Vermont, New York and Massachusetts.

Kaiser Family Foundation
A map demonstrating the House bill’s effect on tax credits to buy health insurance for 60-year-old Americans earning $30,000 annually.

They didnt run this by the politicians. They didnt look at it seriously in terms of its effect on Republican voters and [Donald] Trump voters, said Jost, who is also a contributing editor at Health Affairs.

AARP represents an older demographic that leans Republican and tended to vote for Trump in November.

Republican senators spent much of their time Tuesday dodging questions about the specifics of the House Republican bill, saying they needed more time to read it.

Asked about the language in the bill that would allow insurers to charge their oldest customers five times what they charge younger ones, Sen. James Lankford (R-Okla.) said hes fine with it.

Five-to-ones been a standard part of the process and what it was several years ago, he said. No, five-to-one doesnt concern me at all.

Sen. Pat Toomey (R-Pa.) said hes still studying the bill and that theres a lot Im not wild about, but the increase in premiums for older Americans wasnt one of them.

The current price controls are clearly not working, he said. Getting away from price controls would probably improve the viability of the individual market.

Pressed on the fact that it could mean older workers will have to postpone their retirement if the Republican bill passes, Toomey said, I will leave it at that.

Unlike her colleagues, Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine) expressed concern about the change.

Well it depends on how you structure the credit because, in fact, seniors are more expensive, but if you offset that by giving them a greater credit you can make sure that theyre not hurt by the reality that seniors use more health care, she said.

But Collins acknowledged that preliminary analyses of the credits afforded under the bill to older customers suggest they wont keep pace with the higher premiums.

Well, thats an issue that I have. I need more information about the credits and also about the fact that it looks like the credits are the same amount whether you make the bottom of pay scale, or income scale, or the top.

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